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How to become a homeowner on a first-time buyer's budget

How to Become a Homeowner on a First-Time Buyer’s Budget

It’s not easy being a first-time home buyer right now. At the end of last year, housing affordability hit an all-time low.1 Additionally, mortgage rates have risen significantly since 2021, while inventory remains tight for many property categories, but especially for starter homes. Even lower-priced condos are harder to snag these days, as investors and downsizers muscle out first-timers by offering stronger, often cash-heavy bids.2 

As a result, many first-time home buyers are finding that they need to get creative to afford a home or risk renting for longer than they planned. If you, too, are struggling to afford homeownership, here are some workarounds to consider as you plot your first home purchase.

 

  1. Try House Hacking

“House hacking” is a real estate investment strategy in which participants use their homes to generate income in order to offset their expenditures. 

For example, renting out a basement apartment or accessory dwelling unit (ADU)—such as a detached garage that’s been outfitted with a washroom and small kitchen—counts as house hacking. So does splitting housing costs with a roommate or converting a part of your home into an Airbnb.

House hacking isn’t new. But, it’s grown in popularity as a new crop of digital platforms has entered the market and made it easier than ever for homeowners to generate income from their property.

In some cases, house hacking may make it possible for you to qualify for and afford your first home. A lender, for example, may approve you for a larger mortgage if you purchase a home with immediate income potential, such as a legal duplex or a property with a secondary suite that has a kitchen and full washroom.3

In addition, house hacking could help you pay your mortgage once you move in. Here are just a few of the ways you could use your home to earn some extra cash if your neighbourhood or municipality allows it:

  • Offer paid parking in your driveway on a site like CurbFlip or SpotHero.
  • Rent out your swimming pool for a few hours on Swimply.
  • Make your home available for photoshoots or events on Giggster or Peerspace.
  • Turn your backyard into a pay-by-the-hour dog park on Sniffspot.
  • List your garage space on Kijiji. 

But before you make plans to house hack, make sure you fully understand an area’s bylaws and homeowner restrictions. We can help you find a property with income potential in a neighbourhood with more flexible rules or less restrictive zoning.

 

  1. Team Up With Friends or Family

If you aren’t wild about the idea of welcoming strangers to your home, you may want to consider co-purchasing with a friend or family member instead. This unconventional housing arrangement is also growing more popular as friends and family members cope with higher living costs by pooling resources. 

According to Statistics Canada, multigenerational households in Canada have nearly doubled since 2001. Meanwhile, the number of households shared by roommates has grown even more rapidly, climbing by more than 50% during the same period.4

Arrangements can be customized to fit your circumstances. For example, you could purchase a home and then rent a portion of it to a loved one. Or you might consider co-buying a home with friends or family members so that you can step onto the property ladder and start building equity together. 

Co-ownership could work out especially well for you long-term if it helps you to buy a home that’s bigger, has more investment potential, or is located in a high-demand area and so appreciates at a faster rate. Plus, you’ll get to see your loved ones more often and enjoy the coziness of shared living with people you like having around. 

On the other hand, sharing a big financial responsibility, like a mortgage, with friends or family could get messy—especially if you don’t create a clear-cut co-ownership agreement beforehand that outlines your mutual expectations. So plan carefully before you proceed. 

In addition, you may need to rethink the type of home you pursue. For example, a smaller home might be cheaper, but do you really want that much togetherness all the time? We can help you set priorities and search for a suitable property.

 


  1. Tap Your Network for Help With Funding

Another established method for affording a first home is to lean on family or friends for financial help. Getting assistance with the down payment or other borrowing costs can go a long way toward making your homeownership dreams come true.

As long as you don’t mind asking for help, a free-and-clear gift that’s intended for your down payment is an ideal arrangement, since it will allow you to borrow less overall. Or, if that’s too big an ask, your loved ones could pitch in toward closing or moving costs.

Alternatively, your loved ones could help by co-signing your loan. For example, if their credit score is a lot higher than yours, it could enable you to secure a lower interest rate so that your monthly payment is more affordable. 

You certainly wouldn’t be the only one leaning on family to help afford a home at today’s prices. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s latest Mortgage Consumer Survey, around a third of recent home buyers used gift money to help buy their homes. What’s more, 22% admitted that they wouldn’t have been able to afford to buy without it.5 Meanwhile, a CIBC study from 2021 found that many parents are gifting increasingly large amounts to their children to help fund down payments.6 

Just be sure your parents or other generous loved ones are aware they’re giving a gift, not a loan, and are willing to put that in writing. A lender will want proof that this money isn’t adding to your debt burden and may require documentation from your benefactors. 

Another way to tap your network for help is to crowdfund part of your down payment or ask for monetary gifts instead of tangible ones. For example, if you’re getting married soon, you could skip the wedding gift registry and ask guests to contribute funds to your hoped-for home purchase instead.

 

  1. Look for Special Programs and Assistance

You could also cut some of your upfront mortgage costs by taking advantage of government programs, tax rebates, and other funding opportunities. 

For example, the Government of Canada’s new First Home Savings Account (FHSA) initiative could help you trim your next year’s tax bill as you gather money for your down payment. When you open an FSHA, you can route up to $8,000 per year of income to the account, tax-free (up to a maximum of $40,000).7 And if you co-buy with a partner and you both open FHSA accounts, you can squirrel away a combined $16,000 per year. 

You may also be eligible for a First Time Home Buyers’ Tax Credit up to $1,500, as well as other home buyer rebates, depending on the type of home you buy and where you move. For example, you could get a substantial rebate on some of the GST/HST taxes you pay when you buy a newly-constructed or heavily-renovated home.7 

First-time home buyers can also borrow up to $35,000 tax-free from their individual Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs) to help beef up their down payments.7 And eligible buyers can take advantage of the Government of Canada’s First-Time Home Buyer’s Incentive, which offers 5% to 10% of a new home’s purchase price in exchange for a cut of the home’s equity.8 We can connect you with a lender or mortgage broker who can educate you about your options and help shepherd you through the process. 

 


  1. Expand Your Home Search

If you’re having trouble finding a home within your budget, consider broadening your search criteria. You may be surprised by the kinds of deals that are available when you’re willing to compromise. 

For example, if you’re struggling to find an affordable home in your target neighbourhood, expand your search area and consider homes that are further out of town or that are located in up-and-coming areas with lower starting prices. We would be happy to introduce you to some great but lesser-known neighbourhoods that we consider hidden gems.

You could also save money on your home purchase simply by dropping or revising some of your must-haves and settling for OK-to-haves instead. For example, do you really need two washrooms and a large backyard? Or could you settle for a single washroom with space to add a second one in the future? And would a small garden, cozy balcony, or rooftop terrace still give you the outdoor time you crave? These types of compromises can sometimes shave tens of thousands off your purchase price. 

Similarly, if you don’t mind rolling up your sleeves or working with a contractor on minor jobs, you can look for homes that need a little TLC. Just because a house looks dated doesn’t mean it’s destined to stay that way or that it will take a ton of money to spruce up. In fact, a home with good bones but cosmetic flaws could be a perfect match: With less competition, you’ll have a better chance of purchasing the home at an affordable price. You can then take your time to save more and fix it up to your taste. 

Keep in mind, starter homes are rarely forever homes, but merely a first step onto the property ladder. By gaining a foothold in the real estate market now, you can set yourself up to afford a more expensive property in the future.

According to Statistics Canada, the net worth of a typical Canadian homeowner has more than doubled since the start of the new millennium, climbing from $323,700 in 1999 to $685,400 by 2019. The average renter’s net worth, by contrast, grew far more slowly during the same period, rising from $14,600 to just $24,000.9 We can help you find an affordable first home so you can start building equity to reach your long-term financial and real estate goals.

 

YOU CAN DO IT—AND WE CAN HELP 

Buying a first home is challenging, but it’s not impossible—especially when you have a savvy real estate professional in your corner. We will work with you to devise a plan to overcome your financial constraints. Then, we’ll help you find a home that not only excites you but also fits your budget and lifestyle. Give us a call to get started with a free exploratory consultation. 

 

The above references an opinion and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult the appropriate professionals for advice regarding your individual needs.

 


Sources:

  1. Financial Post –
    https://financialpost.com/executive/executive-summary/housing-affordability-crisis-canada-worse 
  2. CBC –
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/housing-investors-canada-bc-1.6743083 
  3. MoneySense –
    https://www.moneysense.ca/spend/real-estate/income-properties/legal-secondary-suite-or-basement-apartment/ 
  4. Statistics Canada –
    https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220713/dq220713a-eng.htm 
  5. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) –
    https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/en/professionals/housing-markets-data-and-research/housing-research/surveys/mortgage-consumer-surveys/survey-results-2022 
  6. CIBC –
    https://economics.cibccm.com/cds?flag=E&id=9dc124d8-9764-4c1d-83b4-9e89a5d568b8 
  7. Government of Canada –
    https://www.canada.ca/en/financial-consumer-agency/services/buying-home.html 
  8. A Place to Call Home –
    https://www.placetocallhome.ca/fthbi/first-time-homebuyer-incentive 
  9. Statistics Canada –
    https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220921/dq220921b-eng.htm
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Stress-free Home Cleaning:27 Practical tactics for busy households

Keeping a clean and orderly home is a challenge for many of us. Between busy work schedules, social obligations, and family commitments, it’s tough to keep up with daily chores—let alone larger seasonal tasks.

The effort is worthwhile, however. A sanitary environment can keep you and your family healthier by minimizing your exposure to germs and allergens.1 Plus, researchers have found that organized, uncluttered homes have quantifiable mental health benefits, too, including reduced stress, improved emotional regulation, and increased productivity.2 

The reality is, we enjoy our homes more when they are in good order. It’s much easier to relax without piles of unopened mail or a messy kitchen reminding us of work to be done. And don’t we all feel more inclined to entertain family and friends when our homes are well-kept?

That’s why we’ve rounded up our favourite tactics—from overall strategies to little tips and tricks—for keeping things tidy without spending all our spare time cleaning. 

 

Set a Schedule for Daily and Weekly Cleaning

We’ve all been there—you put off vacuuming or mopping your floor for a few days, only to realize that weeks have passed. Creating a cleaning schedule that works for you is the best way to stay on top of things and avoid overwhelm. Here are a few of our favourite strategies:

  1. Designate a day of the week for each task—then, add them to your calendar so you can’t forget. 
  2. Create a shared schedule that assigns specific responsibilities to each member of the household. Post it in a prominent place, like on the refrigerator, or create a shared digital calendar.
  3. Carve out 15 minutes a day for cleaning and decluttering. Set a timer on your phone and get as much done as you can before it goes off. 

It may take some trial and error to find the tactics that work best for you. The most important thing is to make a habit of cleaning so that clutter and grime don’t have a chance to build. And if you’d like some professional help, reach out for a referral to one of our favourite cleaning services!

 


Tackle Bigger Chores Seasonally

Many home care tasks are seasonal by nature and only need to be completed once or twice a year. But when we don’t have a plan to tackle them, it’s all too easy to put them off. Here are a few tips to stay on top of these chores:

  1. Mark days on your calendar in advance to attend to annual or semi-annual chores, like cleaning gutters, washing windows, turning mattresses, and shampooing carpets
  2. Schedule just one primary task each weekend instead of blocking out a full two days. This will help ensure a good balance between chores and relaxation. 
  3. Designate a date two to four times a year, depending on your lifestyle, to put away out-of-season items like clothes, holiday decorations, and sporting goods.
  4. Take some time to sort through your seasonal items when you pack them away. Then you can toss, sell, or donate things that you no longer need or enjoy. 

Remember—breaking down these larger tasks can make them less overwhelming. If you space them out so that you can handle them one by one, even the most time-consuming chores become a lot more manageable.

And since all your time is valuable, don’t hesitate to delegate these larger home care tasks to professionals. Give us a call for a list of our recommended service providers.

 

Reduce the Barriers to Cleaning

Set yourself up for success by ensuring you have the tools on hand to tackle small tasks with ease. Here are a few ways to make your cleaning supplies more accessible:

  1. Store a broom, dustpan, and vacuum on each floor of your home so they’re easy to reach.
  2. Stash containers of disinfecting and glass wipes under every sink for a mid-week wipe-down.
  3. Place extra bags beneath the liner of your garbage pails, so you’ll have a replacement ready when you take out the trash.
  4. Keep a paper shredder and recycling bin handy so you can dispose of unwanted mail as it’s opened.

By strategically placing your tools and supplies in the locations where you’re most likely to need them, you’ll make cleaning less of a chore and more of a habit.

 

Stop the Clutter Before It Starts

From coats to shoes to mail, it’s all too easy to find clutter taking over your home. Once these piles start to form, they can feel overwhelming—which only makes it harder to address them. 

To avoid this problem, stop the clutter before it starts. Assign every item a home and create storage spaces and “drop zones” in key locations.3 Here are a few ideas to get you started:

  1. Install coat hooks and shoe racks in the entryway for easy access.
  2. Add a key caddy or shelf for essential items to get you out the door.
  3. Hang a letter bin to capture mail and newspapers as soon as you walk into the house.
  4. Place a donation box in each closet for items you no longer want or need.

It can take a little time to get in the habit of returning items to their assigned space. But once you do, staying on top of clutter will become far more manageable. 

Are you considering a larger organizational upgrade, like a custom closet or pantry system? Reach out for a free consultation to find out how the investment could impact the value of your home!

 


Tackle Small Tasks Right Away

Sometimes, the mental load of thinking about a chore you need to do is worse than the chore itself. Plus, handling small tasks right away can reduce the need for lengthy cleaning sessions.3 

Try working these changes into your routine:

  1. Learn to clean as you cook, rather than piling it all up for later. As you wait for water to boil or food to cook through, wash the bowls and utensils you used for prep.
  2. Hang bath towels on a bar immediately after use. By allowing them to properly air dry, you can cut down on the frequency of laundering.
  3. Bring items with you when you leave a room. For example, return plates and cups to the kitchen right away rather than letting them stack up in your home office. 
  4. Take out the trash when you leave for work, school drop-off, or errands. This will save you the time and hassle of a second trip.

If you implement these small changes, your home will stay neater—and you’ll minimize the number of dedicated cleaning sessions you need to take on each week.

 

Embrace an Evening “Shutdown” Routine

Kitchens can get dirty and cluttered fast. But a few minutes spent cleaning up each evening can prevent the mess from getting out of control.4 

Imagine your kitchen is a restaurant and you’re tidying it up before closing down for the night. These simple steps will prepare you for the morning rush:

  1. Wipe down all surfaces, including countertops, stove, microwave, and sink. Then toss your soiled washcloth in the hamper and lay out a fresh one for tomorrow.
  2. Load and run the dishwasher every night so you can empty it the next morning.
  3. Prepare for breakfast by programming your coffee pot and setting out some grab-and-go options.

We all know it can be hard to find the energy for chores in the evening. But if you complete these small tasks each night, you’ll start the next day off right in a tidy, clean kitchen.

 

Think Outside of the Box When It Comes to Storage

Most of us have limited storage space. Unfortunately, without the right spots to stash our items, it’s easy to become disorganized. 

But we’ve found that using household items in innovative ways can help keep mess and clutter under control.5 Here are a few of our favourite swaps:

  1. Place a magazine file in your kitchen for cookbooks, takeout menus, and meal kit cards.
  2. Hang a pocket-style shoe organizer inside your pantry door to store granola bars, spice jars, and other small items.
  3. Separate dress and athletic socks by turning an old shoe box into a drawer divider.
  4. Repurpose jam jars by using them to store office supplies or bathroom essentials.
  5. Store out-of-season clothes inside rarely-used suitcases, so all that space doesn’t go to waste. 

A little creativity goes a long way when it comes to making the most of your space. Just be sure that you’re creating systems you can stick with and not putting things where you might forget about them later!

 

WE’RE HERE TO HELP YOU MAKE THE MOST OF YOUR HOME

Keeping your home clean and organized can be a continuous struggle—there’s no need to feel ashamed of that. But taking the time to implement systems that work for you can make life more pleasant and less stressful in the long run.

Remember, we’re not just here to help you buy or sell a home. We want you to love living in it, too. Reach out if you need referrals for house cleaners, window washers, or other service providers that can help you make the most of your space. 

 

The above references an opinion and is for informational purposes only.  It is not intended to be financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult the appropriate professionals for advice regarding your individual needs.

 


Sources:

  1. Healthline –
    https://www.healthline.com/health-news/5-health-benefits-of-spring-cleaning
  2. Forbes –
    https://www.forbes.com/health/mind/mental-health-clean-home/  
  3. My Domaine –
    https://www.mydomaine.com/house-cleaning-schedule 
  4. Housewife How-Tos –
    https://housewifehowtos.com/clean/10-tips-to-keeping-a-clean-house/
  5. Better Homes and Gardens –
    https://www.bhg.com/decorating/storage/projects/simple-solutions/
...
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Top 6 Home Design Trends to Watch in 2023

Top 6 Home Design Trends To Watch in 2023

                                                                                      



Over the past few years, many of us have spent extra time at home—and that means we appreciate the personal design touches that make a house cozy and comfortable more than ever. Some of us have adapted our dwellings in new ways, from creating functional home offices to upgrading the appliances we use most.

But while it’s important to make your home your own, it’s also smart to think about the long-term impact your renovations could have on its value. Choosing highly-personalized fixtures and finishes can make it harder for future homebuyers to envision themselves in the space. Even if you don’t plan to sell your home soon, investing in popular design choices that are likely to stand the test of time will make things easier down the road.

And if you’re in the market for a new home, it’s wise to keep an eye out for features that might need to be updated soon so you can factor renovation costs into your budget.

We’ve rounded up six trends that we think will influence interior design in 2023, as well as ideas for how you might incorporate them in your own home. Remember, before taking action, it’s always wise to consult with a real estate professional to understand how specific updates and upgrades will affect your property’s value in your local market.

 

1. Separate Kitchen, Dining and Living Areas

For years, home design has been dominated by open-concept floor plans, particularly for kitchen, dining, and living areas. However, as the pandemic forced families to work and study from home, many struggled to find the privacy and separation they needed. As a result, designers report that more families are choosing to bring back walls to break up the space and create quieter areas.1

That doesn’t mean that we’re returning to an era of dark and cramped spaces, however. Even as walls make a return, it’s important to take care to retain a sense of flow and openness within the home and to prioritize natural light.

If you’re buying or building a new home, consider how you will use the space and whether or not an open floor plan will suit your needs. If you already live in a home with an open floor plan and it isn’t working for you, try rearranging furniture and strategically placing pieces like bookshelves, room dividers, or rugs to create distinct areas within the home and reduce noise.

 

2. Nature-Inspired Design

In the past few years, we’ve seen the “biophilia” trend explode, and there are no signs that it will be any less popular in 2023. This trend is all about bringing the outside in by adding natural touches throughout your home.2

This year, design experts predict that natural, sustainable materials like bamboo, cork, and live-edge wood will lend character without being overwhelming. Natural-wood cabinets and accents are also back in vogue.3 Designers emphasize that you shouldn’t be afraid to mix contrasting tones, like white oak and rich walnut, to create a custom and inviting look.1

Colours inspired by nature (think mossy greens and desert hues) will also play into this trend and will blend seamlessly with wood tones. We’re also seeing a return to natural stone countertop materials like quartzite, marble, and soapstone.4

If you’re planning to add new shelving or redo your kitchen, consider turning to these materials to embrace the biophilic look. Or, incorporate elements of the trend by choosing nature-inspired paint colours and adding to your houseplant collection.

 

3. Lighting as a Design Feature

Spending more time at home has shown us the importance of having the right lighting for specific tasks and times of the day. As a result, many homeowners are reconsidering the ways they light their homes and using light fixtures to change the usability and mood of their spaces.

In particular, homeowners are rejecting bright, flat overhead lighting and replacing it with lamps and task-specific options. A layered approach to lighting—such as using a combination of under-cabinet, task, and ambient lighting in a kitchen—enables homeowners to tweak the level of light they’re using based on the time of day and what they are doing.4

In 2023, we expect to see more statement chandeliers, pendants, and wall sconces in a variety of shapes and materials.5 Thinking about switching up the lighting in your home? Start by adding floor or table lamps and swapping out fixtures before you invest in rewiring your space. Take note of what works and what doesn’t and watch how the light in your home changes throughout the day. You can then use that information to make lighting decisions that require a bigger investment.

 

4. More Vibrant Colour Palettes

After the long dominance of whites and grays, more vibrant colours are coming back as a way to add character and dimension to homes.

This year, warm and earthy neutrals, jewel tones, and shades of red and pink are particularly popular.6 If your style tends toward the subtle, consider options like light, calming greens, blues, and pastels.

Major paint brands have responded to these homeowner preferences with their newest releases. Sherwin William’s 2023 colour of the year, Redend point, is an earthy blushing beige, while Dulux is embracing jewel tones with Vining Ivy, a rich teal.7,8 Behr’s choice of the year, Blank Canvas, is a creamy off-white that’s a warmer version of the stark whites that have been trending over the past few years.9

If you’re planning to put your home on the market soon, it’s better to play on the safer side and avoid extremely bold or bright colour choices when it comes to paint or fixed finishes like tile and countertops. Instead, try incorporating pops of colour through throw pillows, art, and accessories.

 

5. Curved Furniture and Architectural Accents

Goodbye, sharp corners. In 2023, arches and curves lend a sleek feel that draws on classical design and retro trends while remaining modern.6 Rounded corners feel more relaxed and natural than sharp edges, lending more of a sense of flow and comfort to a home.

If you want to incorporate the trend into your new build or remodelling plans, curved kitchen islands and bars and arched alcoves are all good options—or you can take it a step further with arched windows and doorways. You can also carry this trend through to your light fixtures by incorporating a bubble chandelier or globe pendants.

It’s easy to embrace this look without renovations, too. Look for a softer feel in furniture, with sofas, chairs, and tables that showcase curved edges. Or, break up your space with an arched folding screen and a circular rug.

 

6. Art Deco Revival

Art Deco, the architecture and design style that took hold in the 1920s and ’30s, is enjoying a resurgence.1

As a style, Art Deco is marked by bold geometry, textures, and colours, as well as an emphasis on art. But the 2023 interpretation of this style is likely to be a bit less splashy than its historical roots. Designers predict that instead of incorporating all of the elements of the style, which could feel overwhelming, homeowners will pick bursts of colour or bold accessories to bring some whimsy to their space.

Keep an eye out for vintage mirrors, lamps, or vases that bring a touch of Art Deco glam to your home, or embrace bold colours and fabrics like velvet. Choose pillows and throw blankets in bright colours and geometric patterns to nod to the look without diving in all the way.

 

DESIGNED TO SELL

Are you thinking about remodelling or making significant design changes to your home? Wondering how those changes might impact your future resale value?

Buyer preferences vary significantly based on your home’s neighbourhood and price range. We’re happy to share our insights on the upgrades that will make it easier (or more difficult!) to sell your home. Give us a call for a free consultation!

 

The above references an opinion and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult the appropriate professionals for advice regarding your individual needs.

 

Sources:

1. Realtor.ca –
https://www.realtor.ca/blog/design-trends-to-watch-out-for-in-2023/29256/1367
2. Sudbury.com –
https://www.sudbury.com/village-life/15-major-interior-design-trends-for-2023-6301745
3. Home Builder Canada –
https://www.homebuildercanada.com/news/news221123-Kitchen-trends.htm
4. Realtor.ca –
https://www.realtor.ca/blog/8-kitchen-trends-to-watch-for-in-2023/29442/1367
5. The Spruce –
https://www.thespruce.com/2023-lighting-trends-6891412
6. HGTV.ca –
https://www.hgtv.ca/2023-home-decor-trends/
7. Sherwin Williams –
https://www.sherwin-williams.com/content/colorforecast/colormix-2023/color-of-the-year-2023
8. Dulux –
https://www.dulux.ca/pro/colour/2023-paint-colour-design-trends
9. Behr –
https://www.behr.com/consumer/inspiration/2023-coty/

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2023 Real Estate Market Outlook


2023 Real Estate Market Outlook (and What It Means For You)

 

Last year, one factor drove the real estate market more than any other: rising mortgage rates. 

In March 2022, the Bank of Canada began a series of interest rate hikes in an effort to pump the brakes on inflation.1 And while some market sectors have been slow to respond, the housing market has reacted accordingly.

Both demand and home prices have softened, as the primary challenge for buyers has shifted from availability to affordability. And although this higher-mortgage rate environment has been a painful adjustment for many Canadians, it should ultimately lead to a more stable and sustainable real estate market.

So what can we expect in 2023? Will mortgage rates continue to climb? Could home prices come crashing down? While no one can forecast the future with certainty, here’s what several industry experts predict will happen to the Canadian housing market in the coming year.

 

MORTGAGE RATES WILL EVENTUALLY STOP CLIMBING

Over the course of 2022, we saw the benchmark rate rise at a record pace—a whopping 400 basis points in just nine months. Fortunately, there are signs that the central bank’s series of rate hikes may be coming to an end.2

After last month’s half-point rate increase, Bank of Canada officials struck a noncommittal tone about future rate hikes, prompting economists to speculate that the central bank may pause hiking rates by early spring, if not sooner.3 

According to Stephen Brown, a senior economist at Capital Economics, the central bank is likely to hike rates at least one more time before it shifts gears. “We would not rule out a final 25 basis point interest rate hike in January,” said Brown in a client note. “But the Bank is very close to the end of its tightening cycle.”3

 What impact will this have on mortgage rates? Variable mortgage rates could finally stabilize. However, buyers hoping for a big drop later in the year may be disappointed. Although some market analysts are betting on lower rates, CIBC economist Benjamin Tal thinks that’s unlikely as long as inflation remains a factor. “I think that the Bank of Canada is determined to make sure that they will not touch interest rates in terms of cutting them before inflation is totally dead,” said Tal in an interview with Canadian Mortgage Professional.4 

Fixed mortgage rates, on the other hand, could continue to trend lower as bond yields crumble.5 James Laird, co-CEO of Ratehub.ca, predicts that Bank of Canada’s benchmark rate will hold steady through 2023, but fixed mortgage rates may tick down because of bonds. “Bond yields will decrease throughout the year, allowing fixed rates to follow suit,” said Laird in an interview with Canadian Mortgage Professional.6 However, those rate decreases may be fairly muted as long as banks’ borrowing costs stay higher overall.  

It’s also possible that rates on both variable and fixed-rate mortgages will climb instead. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has made clear that the central bank is prepared to keep hiking rates aggressively if inflation fails to dissipate. “If high inflation sticks, much higher interest rates will be required to restore price stability,” said Macklem in a recent speech to business leaders.7 

What does it mean for you?  While no one can predict the future of mortgage rates with certainty, an end to interest rate hikes could bring some much-needed relief for borrowers. If you have plans to buy a home or renew your mortgage in the coming year, you’ll want to weigh your options carefully when deciding between a variable or fixed rate. Reach out for a referral to a mortgage professional who can help.

 

BUYERS WILL RETURN TO THE MARKET

The pace of home sales fell steeply last year as higher mortgage rates priced would-be buyers out of the market. However, some industry experts predict that the Canadian housing market is poised to turn a corner. 

Although many buyers and sellers are currently in a stalemate over housing prices, market dynamics may shift this spring as more homes go up for sale. 

“Zooming in on demand and supply conditions, the drop in unit sales has been the steepest on record, but the pace of the decline is starting to slow,” write CIBC economists, Benjamin Tal and Katherine Judge, in a recent forecast.8 Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, projects that existing home sales will fall through the first half of 2023 and then reverse course and begin to rise in Q3.9 

Victor Tran, mortgage expert at Ratesdotca, also speculates that a stabilization in mortgage rates will bring home buyers back out. He told the Financial Post in a December interview: “We may be seeing the bottom of the housing market trough before buyers begin to enter the market in spring of 2023.”10

Buyers’ purchasing power will still be constrained by higher mortgage rates, though, as well as by a stringent mortgage stress test for uninsured mortgages and a hefty monthly payment for insured ones. So a buyer’s ability to participate in the market will depend, in part, on a seller’s willingness to negotiate.  

What does it mean for you?  If you’re a buyer who has been waiting for conditions to normalize, now may be an ideal time to start your home search. As more buyers begin to enter the market, you’ll face steeper competition and reduced negotiating power.

And if you’ve delayed selling your home, this could be the year to make a move. Reach out to schedule a free consultation and home value assessment.

 

HOME PRICES WILL STABILIZE LATER THIS YEAR

Canadian home prices have fallen roughly 10% from their peak, and analysts expect they could fall further before moderating in the second half of this year.11

A Reuters poll of industry experts found a wide range of predictions. But on average, the analysts surveyed project that home prices could fall another 7.5% or so. However, the majority report that the risk of a market crash is low.11

A nationwide housing shortage is expected to prop up prices even as sales volume falls. According to Robert Kavcic, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, “We have a unique situation where demand has cracked and buyers can’t qualify for, or afford, early-year prices. But, outside some areas, there’s not a bounty of listings to choose from, and sellers are still able to say ‘no thanks.’”11

Economists at CIBC speculate that home prices will hit a floor in the coming months: “A lower 5-year rate and pent-up demand amplified by demographics will work to establish a bottom in prices by the spring of 2023,” write Benjamin Tal and Katherine Judge.8

RBC Assistant Chief Economist Robert Hogue offers a similar projection: “We expect prices will keep falling until a bottom [this] spring. Our forecast calls for the national benchmark price to drop 14% from (quarterly) peak to trough.”12

What does it mean for you?  It can feel scary to buy a home when there’s uncertainty in the market. However, real estate is a long-term investment that has been shown to appreciate over time. And keep in mind that the best bargains are often found in a slower market, like the one we’re experiencing right now. Contact us to discuss your goals and budget. We can help you make an informed decision about the right time to buy.

And if you’re planning to sell this year, you’ll want to chart your path carefully to maximize your profits. Contact us for recommendations and to find out your home’s market value.

 

RENT PRICES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB

While home prices have fallen, rent prices have surged—rising around 12% year-over-year, according to data from Rentals.ca.13

The average monthly cost to rent a home in Canada is now higher than ever and some analysts are growing increasingly concerned that renters won’t be able to keep up with the higher payments. “We’re getting close to a point where rents are just simply becoming unaffordable for renters,” said Urbanation president, Shaun Hildebrand, to CBC News.14 

But that’s not stopping landlords from collecting higher rents. In 2023, affordability challenges for would-be buyers, inflationary pressures, and an overall lack of housing are expected to continue driving up rent prices in much of the country. 

“Interest rates are actually working to elevate rent inflation because many people are not buying, so they are renting more,” CIBC Economist Benjamin Tal told CBC News.13

And according to Tal, the higher rates have also disincentivized builders and developers from investing in rental properties. That, in turn, has exacerbated the undersupply of available units.13

It’s possible rent prices could ease if Canada’s economy deteriorates, says Urbanation’s Hildebrand. “But over the medium and longer term with aggressive immigration targets and rental construction that’s been stalling recently due to high costs, it’s pretty clear that rents are going to continue to rise higher.”14 

What does it mean for you?  Rent prices are expected to keep climbing. But you can lock in a set mortgage payment and build long-term wealth by putting that money toward a home purchase instead. Reach out for a free consultation to discuss your options. 

 

WE’RE HERE TO GUIDE YOU

While national real estate forecasts can provide a “big picture” outlook, real estate is local. And as local market experts, we can guide you through the ins and outs of our market and the issues most likely to impact sales and drive home values in your particular neighbourhood. 

If you’re considering buying or selling a home in 2023, contact us now to schedule a free consultation. We’ll work with you to develop an action plan to meet your real estate goals this year.


The above references an opinion and is for informational purposes only.  It is not intended to be financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult the appropriate professionals for advice regarding your individual needs.

 


Sources:

  1. CP24 News –
    https://www.cp24.com/news/the-bank-of-canada-has-raised-rates-again-here-s-a-timeline-of-how-we-got-here-1.6125268#
  2. Reuters –
    https://www.reuters.com/markets/bank-canada-set-hike-rates-may-signal-it-is-near-end-tightening-cycle-2022-12-07/
  3. CBC –
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bank-of-canada-1.6677004 
  4. Canadian Mortgage Professional –
    https://www.mpamag.com/ca/mortgage-industry/market-updates/bank-of-canada-could-be-done-on-hikes-for-now-cibcs-tal/430005
  5. Reuters –
    https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/bank-canadas-inflation-fight-made-harder-bond-yields-fall-2022-12-15/ 
  6. Canadian Mortgage Professional –
    https://www.mpamag.com/ca/news/general/whats-the-bank-of-canada-rate-likely-to-be-in-2023/430755 
  7. Global News –
    https://globalnews.ca/news/9341825/bank-of-canada-tiff-macklem-speech-dec-12/ 
  8. CIBC Capital Markets –
    https://economics.cibccm.com/cds?id=6f402711-69b3-46a5-afc8-91ede34fe1fd&flag=E
  9. BMO Capital Markets –
    https://economics.bmo.com/media/filer_public/04/01/040155ce-0cb2-49ac-b63e-def8e66d4c05/outlookcanada.pdf
  10. Financial Post –
    https://financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgage-rates-soar-higher-interest-rate-increase
  11. Financial Post –
    https://financialpost.com/real-estate/canada-house-prices-to-tumble
  12. RBC Special Housing Reports –
    https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/quiet-fall-housing-market-across-canada/
  13. CBC News –
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/rent-inflation-november-1.6650777
  14. CBC News –
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/rental-costs-canada-1.6685602
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